After John Bercow ruled on Monday that there would not be another vote on Theresa May’s Brexit deal if it was “the same proposition or substantially the same proposition”, the immediate prospects for ‘Meaningful Vote 3’ seemed to recede. But even if May is able to set out a new version of the deal that is distinct enough to secure the Speaker’s approval, and then wins the backing of the Democratic Unionist Party, the prime minister faces yet another major barrier to getting her plan through the Commons: the European Research Group. Chaired by Jacob Rees-Mogg, the ERG brings together many strongly pro-Brexit Conservative MPs, the great majority of whom have, so far, voted against her deal. The ERG does not publish membership records, but a letter to May last year from the group about her Brexit plans was signed by 62 Conservative MPs. However, the ERG is not a homogenous bunch, and not all Conservative Brexiters are members. Here is a guide to the broad tribes within it, and how they might lean if there were to be a third vote on the PM’s Brexit plan. The irreconcilables These are the diehards, for whom May’s warnings that a failure… Read full this story
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